35
Senate Seats
22 GOP-held, 12 Dem-held, 1 Ind
435
House Seats
All seats contested
39
Governor Races
Including territories
29
Suppression Bills
Active across 18 states
🏛️
Senate Balance of Power
Current: 53R - 47D • Dems need net +4 for control
Democrats 47 Republicans 53
47
53
51 = Majority
🏠
House Balance of Power
Current: 220R - 215D • 218 needed for majority
Democrats 215 Republicans 220
215
220
218 = Majority
⚠️
Democracy Threat Dashboard
Active measures targeting voter access and election integrity
⚠️ Critical
SAVE America Act
Federal bill requiring proof of citizenship to register. Could disenfranchise millions who lack passports or birth certificates.
📍 Federal👥 ~21M affected
↕ Hover for details

Passed the House in February 2026. Requires documentary proof of US citizenship (passport, birth certificate + photo ID) to register. An estimated 21 million eligible Americans don't have easy access to these documents — disproportionately Black, Latino, elderly, and low-income voters.

Championed by Cleta Mitchell's Election Integrity Network. Based on the manufactured "noncitizen voting" crisis — despite evidence showing noncitizen voting occurs at rates below 0.001%.

Status: Pending in Senate. If passed, would take effect before Nov 2026.

⚠️ Critical
Mid-Decade Redistricting
TX, NC, MO enacted new gerrymandered maps outside normal census cycle. Could net GOP +7 House seats.
📍 TX, NC, MO🗳️ +7 GOP seats
↕ Hover for details

Texas (+3-4): Initiated at Trump's direction in July 2025. Maps dilute minority voting power in Houston, Dallas, San Antonio. Most aggressive gerrymander in the country.

North Carolina (+1-2): Cracked minority communities; packed Democrats into fewer districts. State courts weakened after GOP court-packing.

Missouri (+1): Dissolved competitive district targeting KC suburbs.

Counter: California approved counter-maps (+5 Dem) via special election. Net partisan effect: +2 GOP.

🔶 High
Voter Roll Purges
Aggressive purging programs in GA, TX, OH, FL targeting minority and young voters.
📍 4+ states👥 Hundreds of thousands
↕ Hover for details

Georgia: Purged 340,000+ voters before 2020. Continuing aggressive "use it or lose it" purges targeting infrequent voters in Democratic precincts.

Texas: Flagged 95,000 "suspected noncitizens" — nearly all turned out to be legal citizens. Purges continue under AG's office.

Ohio: "Use it or lose it" rules removed hundreds of thousands. Reduced to 1 drop box per county.

Protect yourself: Check your registration monthly at vote.org

🏛️
2026 Senate Races
35 seats contested (incl. FL & OH special elections) • 22 GOP-held, 12 Dem-held, 1 Ind
Democrats Toss-Ups Republicans
Safe D
Lean D
Toss
Lean R
Safe R
Majority

9 Senators Retiring — Open Seats in Play

GOP retiring (5): Mitch McConnell (KY), Joni Ernst (IA), Thom Tillis (NC), Mike Rounds (SD), Jim Risch (ID) • Dem retiring (4): Gary Peters (MI), Patty Murray (WA), Ron Wyden (OR), Jeanne Shaheen (NH)

Battleground Senate Races — Full Candidate Field

🇺🇸 Maine — Toss-Up

Collins seeking 5th term
Republican
Susan Collins
Incumbent (since 1997). Once bipartisan, now seen as enabler of Trump judiciary. Key vote on Kavanaugh. Moderate brand eroding.
Democrats
Gov. Janet Mills
Term-limited Governor. Strongest Dem recruit. Pledged to serve only one term. High name ID and approval.
Also running:
David Costello, Graham Platner (Marine vet). Ind: Tim Rich (hotelier).

🇺🇸 North Carolina — Toss-Up

OPEN SEAT — Tillis retiring
Republican Nominee
Michael Whatley
Former RNC Chair. Won March 3 primary over Don Brown. Trump's hand-picked party leader — ran the RNC's "election integrity" operation in 2024. MAGA loyalist.
Democratic Nominee
Fmr. Gov. Roy Cooper
Popular former Governor. Announced July 2025. Won the primary. Strong fundraiser. Defended voting rights as Governor against GOP legislature.

🇺🇸 Michigan — Toss-Up

OPEN SEAT — Peters retiring
Republican
Fmr. Rep. Mike Rogers
Lost 2024 Senate race narrowly. Trump-backed. Former FBI agent. Getting second shot at the seat.
Democrats (Primary)
Rep. Haley Stevens
Moderate Congresswoman. Strong suburban appeal.
Also running:
State Sen. Mallory McMorrow ("pragmatist"), Dr. Abdul El-Sayed (progressive physician, 2018 Gov candidate).

🇺🇸 Texas — Lean R ⚡ GOP CIVIL WAR

Cornyn vs Paxton runoff May 26
GOP Runoff — May 26
Sen. John Cornyn vs. AG Ken Paxton
Neither got 50% on March 3. Cornyn (establishment) vs. Paxton (MAGA — indicted, impeached, acquitted). Paxton attacks Cornyn on Ukraine, guns, DACA. Trump hasn't endorsed either. This race is tearing the TX GOP apart.
Democratic Nominee
State Rep. James Talarico
Won Dem primary. Young, progressive state rep. Leads both Cornyn and Paxton in early general election polls. Could benefit from divided GOP. Massive voter suppression apparatus is the biggest obstacle.

🇺🇸 Iowa — Toss-Up

OPEN SEAT — Ernst retiring
Republican
Rep. Ashley Hinson
Rising GOP star. Launched campaign immediately after Ernst announced retirement. Strong MAGA credentials. Former TV anchor.
Democrats
Competitive primary underway
Iowa swung hard to Trump in 2024 but has a history of electing Democrats (Tom Harkin, Tom Vilsack). Open seat = Dem opportunity if strong candidate emerges.

🇺🇸 Kentucky — Lean R

OPEN SEAT — McConnell retiring
Republicans (Primary)
Daniel Cameron
Fmr. AG, 2023 Gov nominee (lost to Beshear). Trump-endorsed.
Also running:
Rep. Andy Barr (KY-6). Multiple other candidates in crowded field.
Democrats
Charles Booker & Amy McGrath
Booker (2022 nominee, fmr. Beshear staffer) and McGrath (2020 nominee, Marine fighter pilot) are both running again. KY elected Dem Gov Beshear — so Dems can win statewide here.

🇺🇸 Alaska — Lean R

Ranked-choice voting in effect
Republican
Dan Sullivan
Incumbent seeking 3rd term. Won 2020 with 54%. Alaska's RCV system could make this competitive.
Democrat
Fmr. Rep. Mary Peltola
Former US Rep (won 2022 special, lost 2024). First Alaska Native to serve in Congress. Hugely popular. Announced Jan 2026. RCV benefits her coalition-building style.

🇺🇸 Georgia — Lean D

High voter suppression risk
Republicans (Primary)
Crowded field
Rep. Buddy Carter (GA-1), Rep. Mike Collins (GA-10), Derek Dooley (fmr. UT football coach), Brig. Gen. Jonathan McColumn, John F. Coyne III.
Democrat
Jon Ossoff (Incumbent)
Won 2021 runoff. Strong fundraiser. Georgia's SB 202 voter suppression law is the biggest threat. Organizing early against new restrictions.

🇺🇸 Illinois — Safe D

Primary decided March 17
Republican Nominee
Don Tracy
Won March 17 primary with 39.9%. Former IL GOP chair. Uphill battle in deep-blue state.
Democratic Nominee
Juliana Stratton
Lt. Governor. Won March 17 primary with 40.1%. Strong position in solidly blue state.

🇺🇸 Arkansas — Safe R

Nominees decided March 3
Republican Nominee
Tom Cotton
Incumbent. Won March 3 primary. Hardline MAGA senator.
Democratic Nominee
Hallie Shoffner
Rice farmer. Won March 3 primary. Long-shot in deep-red state.

All 35 Senate Seats — Quick Reference

StateSeatGOP Candidate(s)Dem Candidate(s)Rating
MECollins (R)Susan CollinsGov. Janet Mills, D. Costello, G. PlatnerToss
NCOPEN (Tillis-R)Michael WhatleyFmr. Gov. Roy CooperToss
MIOPEN (Peters-D)Fmr. Rep. Mike RogersRep. H. Stevens, Sen. M. McMorrow, Dr. A. El-SayedToss
IAOPEN (Ernst-R)Rep. Ashley HinsonPrimary field formingToss
TXCornyn (R)Cornyn vs. Paxton (runoff 5/26)State Rep. James TalaricoLean R
KYOPEN (McConnell-R)Daniel Cameron, Rep. Andy BarrCharles Booker, Amy McGrathLean R
AKSullivan (R)Dan SullivanFmr. Rep. Mary PeltolaLean R
GAOssoff (D)Reps. B. Carter, M. Collins, D. Dooley, othersJon OssoffLean D
NHOPEN (Shaheen-D)Primary field formingPrimary field formingLean D
OROPEN (Wyden-D)Primary field formingPrimary field formingSafe D
WAOPEN (Murray-D)Primary field formingPrimary field formingSafe D
ILDurbin seat (D)Don TracyLt. Gov. Juliana StrattonSafe D
COHickenlooper (D)TBDJohn HickenlooperSafe D
ARCotton (R)Tom CottonHallie ShoffnerSafe R
SDOPEN (Rounds-R)Primary field formingTBDSafe R
IDOPEN (Risch-R)Primary field formingTBDSafe R
🏠
2026 House Races
All 435 seats • Redistricting has reshaped the battlefield
193
Safe/Likely Dem
52
Competitive
Lean D: 15 • Toss-Up: 22 • Lean R: 15
190
Safe/Likely GOP
🗺️
Redistricting Impact on House
How mid-decade map redraws changed the playing field
Texas +3-4 GOP
New maps enacted
North Carolina +1-2 GOP
New maps enacted
Missouri +1 GOP
New maps enacted
California +5 Dem counter
Counter-maps approved
Ohio Litigation
In courts
Utah Litigation
In courts
Net Impact: Republican gerrymandering in TX, NC, MO could net +7 seats. California's counter-maps recover ~5 for Democrats. Net partisan advantage: approximately +2 GOP from redistricting alone — before any votes are cast.

Top 10 Most Competitive House Races

DistrictIncumbentRatingRedistricting?
CA-27Mike Garcia (R)Toss-UpRedrawn — Dem-leaning
NY-17Mike Lawler (R)Toss-UpNo change
PA-08Matt Cartwright (D)Toss-UpNo change
NE-02Don Bacon (R)Toss-UpNo change
AZ-01David Schweikert (R)Lean RNo change
MI-07OpenToss-UpNo change
TX-34Open (new district)Lean RGerrymandered — GOP
VA-07OpenToss-UpNo change
NC-14Open (new district)Lean RGerrymandered — GOP
CO-08Yadira Caraveo (D)Lean DNo change
🏛️
2026 Governor Races
39 seats contested • Governors control redistricting, voting laws, and election certification
23
Dem-Held Seats Up
Many in blue states; some competitive
16
GOP-Held Seats Up
Some term-limited; open seats possible

Why Governors Matter for Democracy

Governors are the last line of defense (or the first point of attack) on voting rights. They sign or veto voter suppression bills, appoint election officials, control redistricting veto power, and certify election results. In 2020, GOP governors in Georgia and Arizona faced enormous pressure from Trump to overturn results. Having democracy-friendly governors in battleground states is critical infrastructure.

Key Governor Battlegrounds — Declared Candidates

🏛️ Georgia — Toss-Up

OPEN — Kemp term-limited • Controls election boards
Republicans
Primary field forming. Expected candidates include Lt. Gov. Burt Jones and other Kemp-aligned and MAGA-aligned contenders.
Democrats (Primary)
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Former Atlanta mayor.
Also running:
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan (R-turned-Dem), Mike Thurmond (fmr. DeKalb CEO).

🏛️ Michigan — Toss-Up

OPEN — Whitmer term-limited • Protects voting rights expansion
Republicans (Primary)
Rep. John James
Fmr. Senate candidate.
Also running:
Fmr. House Speaker Tom Leonard, Fmr. AG Mike Cox.
Democrat (Frontrunner)
SOS Jocelyn Benson
Secretary of State. Top Dem recruit — defended Michigan elections against Trump's Big Lie. National voting rights profile.

🏛️ Wisconsin — Toss-Up

OPEN — Evers term-limited • Only check on gerrymandered legislature
Republicans (Primary)
Rep. Tom Tiffany
MAGA-aligned congressman.
Also running:
Josh Schoemann (Washington Co. exec), Andy Manske.
Democrats (Crowded Primary)
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez
Sitting Lt. Gov.
Also running:
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, State Rep. Francesca Hong, David Crowley (Milwaukee Co. exec).

🏛️ Arizona — Toss-Up

OPEN — Hobbs term up • Election denial epicenter
Republicans (Primary)
Rep. Andy Biggs
Freedom Caucus member. Election denier. Trump-endorsed.
Also running:
Karrin Taylor Robson (Trump-endorsed), Rep. David Schweikert.
Democrats
Primary forming
Several candidates expected. This is ground zero for election denial — the governor appoints election officials and certifies results.

🏛️ Nevada — Toss-Up

Lombardo seeking 2nd term • Election certification authority
Republican
Gov. Joe Lombardo
Incumbent. Former sheriff. Moderate-ish R in a swing state.
Democrat
AG Aaron Ford
Attorney General. Frontrunner for Dem nomination. Has defended voting rights as AG.
StateStatusGOP CandidatesDem CandidatesRating
PAShapiro (D) eligiblePrimary formingGov. Josh Shapiro (if running for re-election)Lean D
OHOPEN (DeWine-R)Crowded primary expectedPrimary field formingLean R
FLOPEN (DeSantis-R)Crowded primary expectedPrimary field formingLean R
IAOPEN (Reynolds-R)Primary formingDem flip opportunityLean R
⬆️
2024: Weaponized as justification
Despite the evidence, "noncitizen voting" became the primary rallying cry for new restrictions. Used to justify voter roll purges (TX flagged 95,000 — nearly all were legal citizens), proof-of-citizenship requirements, and laid groundwork to contest election results if lost.
Propaganda Tool