Active measures targeting voter access and election integrity
⚠️ Critical
SAVE America Act
Federal bill requiring proof of citizenship to register. Could disenfranchise millions who lack passports or birth certificates.
📍 Federal👥 ~21M affected
↕ Hover for details
Passed the House in February 2026. Requires documentary proof of US citizenship (passport, birth certificate + photo ID) to register. An estimated 21 million eligible Americans don't have easy access to these documents — disproportionately Black, Latino, elderly, and low-income voters.
Championed by Cleta Mitchell's Election Integrity Network. Based on the manufactured "noncitizen voting" crisis — despite evidence showing noncitizen voting occurs at rates below 0.001%.
Status: Pending in Senate. If passed, would take effect before Nov 2026.
⚠️ Critical
Mid-Decade Redistricting
TX, NC, MO enacted new gerrymandered maps outside normal census cycle. Could net GOP +7 House seats.
📍 TX, NC, MO🗳️ +7 GOP seats
↕ Hover for details
Texas (+3-4): Initiated at Trump's direction in July 2025. Maps dilute minority voting power in Houston, Dallas, San Antonio. Most aggressive gerrymander in the country.
North Carolina (+1-2): Cracked minority communities; packed Democrats into fewer districts. State courts weakened after GOP court-packing.
Missouri (+1): Dissolved competitive district targeting KC suburbs.
Counter: California approved counter-maps (+5 Dem) via special election. Net partisan effect: +2 GOP.
🔶 High
Voter Roll Purges
Aggressive purging programs in GA, TX, OH, FL targeting minority and young voters.
📍 4+ states👥 Hundreds of thousands
↕ Hover for details
Georgia: Purged 340,000+ voters before 2020. Continuing aggressive "use it or lose it" purges targeting infrequent voters in Democratic precincts.
Texas: Flagged 95,000 "suspected noncitizens" — nearly all turned out to be legal citizens. Purges continue under AG's office.
Ohio: "Use it or lose it" rules removed hundreds of thousands. Reduced to 1 drop box per county.
Protect yourself: Check your registration monthly at vote.org
🏛️
2026 Senate Races
35 seats contested (incl. FL & OH special elections) • 22 GOP-held, 12 Dem-held, 1 Ind
DemocratsToss-UpsRepublicans
Safe D
Lean D
Toss
Lean R
Safe R
Majority
9 Senators Retiring — Open Seats in Play
GOP retiring (5): Mitch McConnell (KY), Joni Ernst (IA), Thom Tillis (NC), Mike Rounds (SD), Jim Risch (ID) •
Dem retiring (4): Gary Peters (MI), Patty Murray (WA), Ron Wyden (OR), Jeanne Shaheen (NH)
Battleground Senate Races — Full Candidate Field
🇺🇸 Maine — Toss-Up
Collins seeking 5th term
Republican
Susan Collins
Incumbent (since 1997). Once bipartisan, now seen as enabler of Trump judiciary. Key vote on Kavanaugh. Moderate brand eroding.
Democrats
Gov. Janet Mills
Term-limited Governor. Strongest Dem recruit. Pledged to serve only one term. High name ID and approval.
Also running:
David Costello, Graham Platner (Marine vet). Ind: Tim Rich (hotelier).
🇺🇸 North Carolina — Toss-Up
OPEN SEAT — Tillis retiring
Republican Nominee
Michael Whatley
Former RNC Chair. Won March 3 primary over Don Brown. Trump's hand-picked party leader — ran the RNC's "election integrity" operation in 2024. MAGA loyalist.
Democratic Nominee
Fmr. Gov. Roy Cooper
Popular former Governor. Announced July 2025. Won the primary. Strong fundraiser. Defended voting rights as Governor against GOP legislature.
🇺🇸 Michigan — Toss-Up
OPEN SEAT — Peters retiring
Republican
Fmr. Rep. Mike Rogers
Lost 2024 Senate race narrowly. Trump-backed. Former FBI agent. Getting second shot at the seat.
Democrats (Primary)
Rep. Haley Stevens
Moderate Congresswoman. Strong suburban appeal.
Also running:
State Sen. Mallory McMorrow ("pragmatist"), Dr. Abdul El-Sayed (progressive physician, 2018 Gov candidate).
🇺🇸 Texas — Lean R⚡ GOP CIVIL WAR
Cornyn vs Paxton runoff May 26
GOP Runoff — May 26
Sen. John Cornyn vs. AG Ken Paxton
Neither got 50% on March 3. Cornyn (establishment) vs. Paxton (MAGA — indicted, impeached, acquitted). Paxton attacks Cornyn on Ukraine, guns, DACA. Trump hasn't endorsed either. This race is tearing the TX GOP apart.
Democratic Nominee
State Rep. James Talarico
Won Dem primary. Young, progressive state rep. Leads both Cornyn and Paxton in early general election polls. Could benefit from divided GOP. Massive voter suppression apparatus is the biggest obstacle.
🇺🇸 Iowa — Toss-Up
OPEN SEAT — Ernst retiring
Republican
Rep. Ashley Hinson
Rising GOP star. Launched campaign immediately after Ernst announced retirement. Strong MAGA credentials. Former TV anchor.
Democrats
Competitive primary underway
Iowa swung hard to Trump in 2024 but has a history of electing Democrats (Tom Harkin, Tom Vilsack). Open seat = Dem opportunity if strong candidate emerges.
🇺🇸 Kentucky — Lean R
OPEN SEAT — McConnell retiring
Republicans (Primary)
Daniel Cameron
Fmr. AG, 2023 Gov nominee (lost to Beshear). Trump-endorsed.
Also running:
Rep. Andy Barr (KY-6). Multiple other candidates in crowded field.
Democrats
Charles Booker & Amy McGrath
Booker (2022 nominee, fmr. Beshear staffer) and McGrath (2020 nominee, Marine fighter pilot) are both running again. KY elected Dem Gov Beshear — so Dems can win statewide here.
🇺🇸 Alaska — Lean R
Ranked-choice voting in effect
Republican
Dan Sullivan
Incumbent seeking 3rd term. Won 2020 with 54%. Alaska's RCV system could make this competitive.
Democrat
Fmr. Rep. Mary Peltola
Former US Rep (won 2022 special, lost 2024). First Alaska Native to serve in Congress. Hugely popular. Announced Jan 2026. RCV benefits her coalition-building style.
🇺🇸 Georgia — Lean D
High voter suppression risk
Republicans (Primary)
Crowded field
Rep. Buddy Carter (GA-1), Rep. Mike Collins (GA-10), Derek Dooley (fmr. UT football coach), Brig. Gen. Jonathan McColumn, John F. Coyne III.
Democrat
Jon Ossoff (Incumbent)
Won 2021 runoff. Strong fundraiser. Georgia's SB 202 voter suppression law is the biggest threat. Organizing early against new restrictions.
🇺🇸 Illinois — Safe D
Primary decided March 17
Republican Nominee
Don Tracy
Won March 17 primary with 39.9%. Former IL GOP chair. Uphill battle in deep-blue state.
Democratic Nominee
Juliana Stratton
Lt. Governor. Won March 17 primary with 40.1%. Strong position in solidly blue state.
🇺🇸 Arkansas — Safe R
Nominees decided March 3
Republican Nominee
Tom Cotton
Incumbent. Won March 3 primary. Hardline MAGA senator.
Democratic Nominee
Hallie Shoffner
Rice farmer. Won March 3 primary. Long-shot in deep-red state.
All 35 Senate Seats — Quick Reference
State
Seat
GOP Candidate(s)
Dem Candidate(s)
Rating
ME
Collins (R)
Susan Collins
Gov. Janet Mills, D. Costello, G. Platner
Toss
NC
OPEN (Tillis-R)
Michael Whatley
Fmr. Gov. Roy Cooper
Toss
MI
OPEN (Peters-D)
Fmr. Rep. Mike Rogers
Rep. H. Stevens, Sen. M. McMorrow, Dr. A. El-Sayed
Toss
IA
OPEN (Ernst-R)
Rep. Ashley Hinson
Primary field forming
Toss
TX
Cornyn (R)
Cornyn vs. Paxton (runoff 5/26)
State Rep. James Talarico
Lean R
KY
OPEN (McConnell-R)
Daniel Cameron, Rep. Andy Barr
Charles Booker, Amy McGrath
Lean R
AK
Sullivan (R)
Dan Sullivan
Fmr. Rep. Mary Peltola
Lean R
GA
Ossoff (D)
Reps. B. Carter, M. Collins, D. Dooley, others
Jon Ossoff
Lean D
NH
OPEN (Shaheen-D)
Primary field forming
Primary field forming
Lean D
OR
OPEN (Wyden-D)
Primary field forming
Primary field forming
Safe D
WA
OPEN (Murray-D)
Primary field forming
Primary field forming
Safe D
IL
Durbin seat (D)
Don Tracy
Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton
Safe D
CO
Hickenlooper (D)
TBD
John Hickenlooper
Safe D
AR
Cotton (R)
Tom Cotton
Hallie Shoffner
Safe R
SD
OPEN (Rounds-R)
Primary field forming
TBD
Safe R
ID
OPEN (Risch-R)
Primary field forming
TBD
Safe R
🏠
2026 House Races
All 435 seats • Redistricting has reshaped the battlefield
193
Safe/Likely Dem
52
Competitive
Lean D: 15 • Toss-Up: 22 • Lean R: 15
190
Safe/Likely GOP
🗺️
Redistricting Impact on House
How mid-decade map redraws changed the playing field
Texas +3-4 GOP
New maps enacted
North Carolina +1-2 GOP
New maps enacted
Missouri +1 GOP
New maps enacted
California +5 Dem counter
Counter-maps approved
Ohio Litigation
In courts
Utah Litigation
In courts
Net Impact: Republican gerrymandering in TX, NC, MO could net +7 seats. California's counter-maps recover ~5 for Democrats. Net partisan advantage: approximately +2 GOP from redistricting alone — before any votes are cast.
Top 10 Most Competitive House Races
District
Incumbent
Rating
Redistricting?
CA-27
Mike Garcia (R)
Toss-Up
Redrawn — Dem-leaning
NY-17
Mike Lawler (R)
Toss-Up
No change
PA-08
Matt Cartwright (D)
Toss-Up
No change
NE-02
Don Bacon (R)
Toss-Up
No change
AZ-01
David Schweikert (R)
Lean R
No change
MI-07
Open
Toss-Up
No change
TX-34
Open (new district)
Lean R
Gerrymandered — GOP
VA-07
Open
Toss-Up
No change
NC-14
Open (new district)
Lean R
Gerrymandered — GOP
CO-08
Yadira Caraveo (D)
Lean D
No change
🏛️
2026 Governor Races
39 seats contested • Governors control redistricting, voting laws, and election certification
23
Dem-Held Seats Up
Many in blue states; some competitive
16
GOP-Held Seats Up
Some term-limited; open seats possible
Why Governors Matter for Democracy
Governors are the last line of defense (or the first point of attack) on voting rights. They sign or veto voter suppression bills, appoint election officials, control redistricting veto power, and certify election results. In 2020, GOP governors in Georgia and Arizona faced enormous pressure from Trump to overturn results. Having democracy-friendly governors in battleground states is critical infrastructure.
Key Governor Battlegrounds — Declared Candidates
🏛️ Georgia — Toss-Up
OPEN — Kemp term-limited • Controls election boards
Republicans
Primary field forming. Expected candidates include Lt. Gov. Burt Jones and other Kemp-aligned and MAGA-aligned contenders.
Karrin Taylor Robson (Trump-endorsed), Rep. David Schweikert.
Democrats
Primary forming
Several candidates expected. This is ground zero for election denial — the governor appoints election officials and certifies results.
🏛️ Nevada — Toss-Up
Lombardo seeking 2nd term • Election certification authority
Republican
Gov. Joe Lombardo
Incumbent. Former sheriff. Moderate-ish R in a swing state.
Democrat
AG Aaron Ford
Attorney General. Frontrunner for Dem nomination. Has defended voting rights as AG.
State
Status
GOP Candidates
Dem Candidates
Rating
PA
Shapiro (D) eligible
Primary forming
Gov. Josh Shapiro (if running for re-election)
Lean D
OH
OPEN (DeWine-R)
Crowded primary expected
Primary field forming
Lean R
FL
OPEN (DeSantis-R)
Crowded primary expected
Primary field forming
Lean R
IA
OPEN (Reynolds-R)
Primary forming
Dem flip opportunity
Lean R
⬆️
2024: Weaponized as justification
Despite the evidence, "noncitizen voting" became the primary rallying cry for new restrictions. Used to justify voter roll purges (TX flagged 95,000 — nearly all were legal citizens), proof-of-citizenship requirements, and laid groundwork to contest election results if lost.
Propaganda Tool
🚨
2026: Now the basis for federal legislation
The SAVE Act uses this manufactured crisis to impose federal proof-of-citizenship and ID requirements — "solving" a problem that doesn't meaningfully exist while creating real barriers for millions of eligible voters. It's the most successful example of using a myth to justify suppression at scale.
Active — Federal Law Pending
⚖️
Citizens United: The Decision That Broke American Elections
January 21, 2010 — the day money became "speech" and corporations became "people"
In Citizens United v. FEC (2010), the Supreme Court ruled 5-4 that the First Amendment prohibits the government from restricting independent political expenditures by corporations, associations, or labor unions. In practice, this meant unlimited money could flood into elections — as long as it wasn't "coordinated" with campaigns.
The result was the creation of Super PACs — political committees that can raise and spend unlimited amounts of money. Combined with the SpeechNow.org v. FEC ruling later that year, this created the modern dark money ecosystem: billionaires and corporations can spend limitlessly through 501(c)(4) nonprofits that never have to disclose their donors.
Justice John Paul Stevens, dissenting: "A democracy cannot function effectively when its constituent members believe laws are being bought and sold."
💰
The Money Explosion: Before & After Citizens United
Outside spending has increased 28x since the ruling
2008 (pre-ruling)
$144M
2012
$630M
2016
$920M
2020
$2.1B
2024 RECORD
$4.2B+ outside spending
$1.9B
Dark Money in 2024
Record high. Shell companies & 501(c) nonprofits gave $1.3B to Super PACs — more than the prior two cycles combined.
$2.7B
Super PAC Spending 2024
All-time record. Super PACs now outspend many candidates' own campaigns in key races.
💸
Follow the Money: 2026 Election Finance
Tracking funding flows through the dark money ecosystem
How it works: Billionaires and corporations donate to 501(c)(4) "social welfare" nonprofits with zero donor disclosure. These organizations then funnel money to Super PACs, candidate committees, state party committees, and voter suppression organizations — all while keeping the original donor hidden.
🏛️
Political Movements & Alignments
MAGA, election denial, and the party apparatus
The Republican Party has become increasingly defined by support for Trump and election denial conspiracy theories. Candidates who acknowledge Joe Biden won 2020 are being primaried out by MAGA-aligned challengers. This impacts voting rights: MAGA candidates tend to support aggressive voter suppression and are more likely to participate in election subversion.
🔵
Democratic Party Accountability
Progress on voting rights, and areas for improvement
Voter Rights Protections Enacted
✓ Voting Rights Act enforcement (DOJ Voting Section — limited by Trump admin)
✓ John R. Lewis Voting Rights Act (passed House, blocked in Senate)
✓ Voting access expansion in state legislatures (CA, MI, MN)
✓ Support for independent redistricting commissions
📊
Demographics & the Information Gap
Who votes, who doesn't, and what misinformation reaches whom
2024 Turnout by Demographic
Overall 2024 voter turnout: ~55% of voting-eligible population (65% of registered voters).
Highest turnout groups: College-educated voters (75%), voters 65+ (70%), people in competitive states (62%).
Lowest turnout groups: 18-29 year olds (38%), citizens with high school education or less (42%), those making <$30K annually (45%).
Misinformation penetration: Voters getting news from social media (47% of Americans) are significantly more likely to believe false claims about voting methods, ballot counting, and election integrity — even when those claims have been debunked thousands of times.